Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | HARV -125 COR +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +7 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -3.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -5.6 (-12.6) | 154.2 (+10.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -1.5 (-8.5) | 157.1 (+7.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -4.0 (-11.0) | 157.3 (+7.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -4.7 (-11.7) | 155.1 (+9.9) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HARV 73 – 54 COR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 73 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 75 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COR 75 – 62 HARV |
| Feb 4, 2024 | COR 89 – 76 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 84.6 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#183) | -1.2 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#214) | -0.76 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#208) | -0.97 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#203) | 0.506 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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