Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | HARV +163 COR -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +13 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -4.3 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -2.7 (-10.3) | 149.9 (+15.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -3.7 (-9.3) | 152.8 (+12.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -3.1 (-9.9) | 149.4 (+15.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.1 (-9.9) | 149.5 (+15.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HARV 73 – 54 COR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COR 86 – 79 HARV |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 73 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 75 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COR 75 – 62 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#200) | 5.5 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#141) | 1.93 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#149) | 2.16 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#139) | 0.586 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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