Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | COR -218 HARV +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +19 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -4.4 (-23.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.3 (-37.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -3.7 (-22.7) | 152.4 (-25.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -5.1 (-24.1) | 151.6 (-24.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -4.0 (-23.0) | 151.5 (-24.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.9 (-22.9) | 154.0 (-27.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COR 86 – 79 HARV |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 73 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 75 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COR 75 – 62 HARV |
| Feb 4, 2024 | COR 89 – 76 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 10-4 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.6 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#148) | -0.5 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#208) | -0.29 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#201) | -0.51 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#134) | 0.495 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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