Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | COR -500 HARV +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | COR -12.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -11.5 (+3.5) | 150.0 (-15.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -11.5 (+3.5) | 151.8 (-16.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -10.2 (+4.8) | 150.9 (-15.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -10.8 (+4.2) | 152.0 (-17.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HARV 73 – 54 COR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COR 86 – 79 HARV |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 73 COR |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COR 75 – 62 HARV |
| Feb 4, 2024 | COR 89 – 76 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#122) | -6.7 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#140) | -1.10 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#135) | -1.29 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#117) | 0.460 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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