Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +12 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -3.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -4.1 (-16.1) | 139.6 (+20.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -4.3 (-16.3) | 140.9 (+19.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -4.0 (-16.0) | 141.1 (+18.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -4.2 (-16.2) | 138.8 (+21.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WIS 92 – 71 MSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | WIS 77 – 74 MSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSU 71 – 62 WIS |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WIS 81 – 66 MSU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | WIS 70 – 57 MSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#27) | 12.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#2) | 3.28 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.65 (#5) | 4.14 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#3) | 0.643 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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