Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | BU -11.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -9.5 (-3.5) | 136.5 (+17.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -8.1 (-2.1) | 138.4 (+15.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -8.4 (-2.4) | 137.5 (+16.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -9.0 (-3.0) | 136.3 (+17.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#182) | -8.6 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#197) | -1.78 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#201) | -2.48 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#194) | 0.401 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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