Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -19.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -15.5 (-3.5) | 138.8 (+21.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -14.9 (-2.9) | 140.0 (+20.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -14.7 (-2.7) | 141.0 (+19.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -15.3 (-3.3) | 140.7 (+19.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | SUU 82 – 74 IDST |
| Dec 4, 2022 | SUU 69 – 59 IDST |
| Mar 4, 2022 | SUU 79 – 71 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#171) | -16.2 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#141) | -3.62 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#148) | -4.03 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#153) | 0.330 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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