Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -175 IDST +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -7.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -8.5 (-0.5) | 138.2 (+17.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -5.3 (+2.7) | 141.5 (+14.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -5.4 (+2.6) | 141.8 (+14.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -6.5 (+1.5) | 137.9 (+18.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | SUU 69 – 59 IDST |
| Mar 4, 2022 | SUU 79 – 71 IDST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SUU 86 – 74 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#185) | -3.3 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#270) | -1.68 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#244) | -2.03 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#239) | 0.395 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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