Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +8 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -9.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -8.7 (+0.7) | 142.0 (+8.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -6.9 (-1.1) | 144.1 (+5.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -7.0 (-1.0) | 145.1 (+4.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -8.3 (+0.3) | 145.0 (+5.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | SUU 82 – 74 IDST |
| Dec 4, 2022 | SUU 69 – 59 IDST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SUU 86 – 74 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 14-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#342) | -0.5 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#329) | 0.09 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#317) | 0.04 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#347) | 0.523 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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