Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +4 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -1.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -2.3 (-6.3) | 156.2 (+13.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -1.3 (-5.3) | 157.2 (+12.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -1.4 (-5.4) | 156.6 (+13.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -0.8 (-4.8) | 156.1 (+13.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EWU 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNCO 95 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCO 67 – 62 EWU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | EWU 85 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#228) | -1.1 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#183) | 0.31 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#197) | 0.22 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#189) | 0.544 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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