Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | CREI -550 DEP +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +13 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -5.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-40.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -8.5 (+4.5) | 146.4 (-39.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -6.1 (+6.9) | 147.0 (-40.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -6.5 (+6.5) | 149.0 (-42.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -6.2 (+6.8) | 147.8 (-40.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#59) | 6.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#39) | 1.31 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#23) | 1.76 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#50) | 0.542 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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