Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +22 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -4.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.1 (-17.9) | 140.4 (-18.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -4.1 (-17.9) | 145.0 (-23.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.4 (-17.6) | 146.0 (-24.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -4.4 (-17.6) | 145.4 (-23.4) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 0-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#243) | 3.6 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#252) | 1.08 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#239) | 1.45 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#261) | 0.581 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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