Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +24 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -11.1 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -11.0 (-13.0) | 131.2 (-9.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -12.1 (-11.9) | 132.9 (-10.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -12.0 (-12.0) | 130.6 (-8.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -11.8 (-12.2) | 132.8 (-10.8) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 0-14 | 8-5 |
| Home | 2-11 | 9-2 |
| Away | 0-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L25 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -23.1 (#359) | -8.4 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.50 (#356) | -1.66 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.29 (#359) | -2.71 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.349 (#352) | 0.401 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.49 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.9% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 61.1% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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