Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -7.0 Push |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -10.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -7.6 (-0.6) | 146.9 (+14.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -8.1 (-1.1) | 142.3 (+18.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -7.9 (-0.9) | 142.7 (+18.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -8.8 (-1.8) | 146.0 (+15.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-0 | 3-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#196) | -7.7 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#132) | -1.48 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#128) | -1.79 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#172) | 0.445 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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