Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -16.8 (-22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -11.8 (-17.8) | 138.0 (+10.0) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -12.1 (-18.1) | 139.5 (+8.5) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -13.3 (-19.3) | 140.1 (+7.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -13.7 (-19.7) | 139.5 (+8.5) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 71 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AMCC 81 – 65 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 62 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#211) | -15.1 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#148) | -3.22 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#161) | -4.17 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#207) | 0.382 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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