Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -380 HCU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -10.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.3 (-6.3) | 130.7 (+13.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -9.2 (-7.2) | 131.1 (+12.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -7.5 (-5.5) | 130.8 (+13.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.3 (-6.3) | 130.7 (+13.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | AMCC 81 – 65 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 62 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
| Feb 27, 2024 | AMCC 91 – 79 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 8-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | -8.1 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#208) | -1.63 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#187) | -1.99 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#202) | 0.412 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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