Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +500 AMCC -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +12 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -12.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -11.5 (-0.5) | 146.8 (+23.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | AMCC -11.4 (-0.6) | 149.3 (+20.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | AMCC -11.6 (-0.4) | 143.5 (+26.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -10.5 (-1.5) | 144.1 (+25.9) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 71 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AMCC 81 – 65 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 62 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-15 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#357) | -1.1 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#352) | -0.33 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.63 (#356) | -0.39 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#346) | 0.494 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
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