Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +154 AMCC -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +16 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -1.1 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.4 (-13.6) | 131.3 (+14.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | AMCC -2.3 (-13.7) | 131.0 (+15.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | AMCC -2.7 (-13.3) | 129.7 (+16.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -1.6 (-14.4) | 128.3 (+17.7) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 71 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 62 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
| Feb 27, 2024 | AMCC 91 – 79 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 13-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#246) | -0.5 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#321) | -0.20 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#305) | -0.20 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#314) | 0.513 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 34.1% |
Game Analysis
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