Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -650 HCU +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -9.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -7.4 (-1.4) | 137.9 (-7.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -9.0 (-3.0) | 136.8 (-6.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -7.3 (-1.3) | 138.5 (-8.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -6.8 (-0.8) | 137.7 (-7.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 71 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AMCC 81 – 65 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
| Feb 27, 2024 | AMCC 91 – 79 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#165) | -6.5 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#209) | -1.18 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#200) | -1.23 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#188) | 0.457 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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