Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -6.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -6.9 (+3.9) | 137.2 (-2.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -6.0 (+3.0) | 139.6 (-4.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -6.3 (+3.3) | 140.1 (-5.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -5.4 (+2.4) | 139.0 (-4.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FOR 63 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 22, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DAV 80 – 69 FOR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DAV 74 – 64 FOR |
| Mar 12, 2024 | FOR 71 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#177) | 9.7 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#172) | 2.85 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#162) | 2.88 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#184) | 0.628 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 42.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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