Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +19 | 101 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -11.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -11.7 (-7.3) | 118.1 (-17.1) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -12.0 (-7.0) | 127.1 (-26.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -12.4 (-6.6) | 118.7 (-17.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -13.4 (-5.6) | 119.6 (-18.6) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | NKU 81 – 72 IUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | NKU 71 – 67 IUIN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NKU 66 – 64 IUIN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NKU 80 – 64 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 2-11 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 51.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -21.7 (#358) | -6.4 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.79 (#359) | -1.54 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.17 (#358) | -2.36 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.309 (#359) | 0.422 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 26.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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