Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +17 | 99 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -21.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-35.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -15.1 (+1.9) | 134.0 (-35.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -15.3 (+1.7) | 138.2 (-39.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -17.8 (-0.8) | 136.3 (-37.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -16.3 (+0.7) | 135.7 (-36.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 0-18 |
| Home | 11-2 | 2-11 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#98) | -12.2 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#112) | -4.38 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#100) | -5.53 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#99) | 0.330 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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