Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +1 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -4.1 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -4.7 (+3.7) | 131.6 (+9.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -3.3 (+2.3) | 131.4 (+9.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -2.9 (+1.9) | 133.3 (+7.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -2.6 (+1.6) | 132.8 (+8.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PRES 72 – 65 LONG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LONG 77 – 70 PRES |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRES 77 – 68 LONG |
| Jan 2, 2025 | PRES 68 – 60 LONG |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LONG 81 – 73 PRES |
Game Analysis
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