Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LONG -240 PRES +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -7.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -6.8 (-15.8) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -7.1 (-16.1) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -6.8 (-15.8) | 144.7 (+0.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -6.3 (-15.3) | 144.9 (+0.1) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PRES 72 – 65 LONG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LONG 77 – 70 PRES |
| Jan 2, 2025 | PRES 68 – 60 LONG |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LONG 81 – 73 PRES |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LONG 80 – 70 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#182) | -5.9 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#166) | -1.30 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#169) | -1.44 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#179) | 0.422 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.