Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | CAN -5.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -3.6 (-2.6) | 142.5 (-3.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -3.5 (-2.5) | 139.0 (-0.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -3.7 (-2.7) | 139.6 (-0.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -3.5 (-2.5) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAN 72 – 66 RID |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RID 78 – 50 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CAN 85 – 67 RID |
| Mar 3, 2024 | RID 65 – 61 CAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | RID 79 – 76 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#288) | -8.6 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#282) | -1.90 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#304) | -2.31 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#285) | 0.403 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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