Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -3.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -3.4 (-4.6) | 137.1 (-17.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -3.2 (-4.8) | 139.9 (-19.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -2.5 (-5.5) | 140.0 (-20.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -3.3 (-4.7) | 139.6 (-19.6) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUQ 78 – 73 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SBU 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SBU 64 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SBU 70 – 63 DUQ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUQ 75 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 12-5 |
| Home | 3-11 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#224) | 4.6 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#236) | 1.57 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#221) | 1.70 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#251) | 0.578 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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