Betting Lines
| Spread | UPST -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UPST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UPST +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UPST -13.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UPST -9.7 (+3.3) | 145.6 (-18.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UPST -11.7 (+1.3) | 146.2 (-19.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UPST -11.5 (+1.5) | 145.1 (-18.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UPST -10.2 (+2.8) | 143.9 (-16.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UPST 100 – 94 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UPST 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UPST 79 – 69 CHSO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | CHSO 82 – 75 UPST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 UPST |
Game Analysis
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