Betting Lines
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | RAD -155 UNCA +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -0.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -0.6 (-4.6) | 136.8 (+15.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -0.5 (-4.5) | 137.2 (+14.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -0.0 (-4.0) | 138.5 (+13.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -0.0 (-4.0) | 136.7 (+15.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UNCA 74 – 73 RAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNCA 91 – 72 RAD |
| Feb 21, 2025 | RAD 77 – 53 UNCA |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UNCA 72 – 65 RAD |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNCA 71 – 62 RAD |
Game Analysis
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