Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +8 | 194 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -9.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+42.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -8.2 (-16.2) | 153.5 (+40.5) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -7.5 (-15.5) | 149.2 (+44.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -6.6 (-14.6) | 151.0 (+43.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -6.7 (-14.7) | 151.3 (+42.7) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#180) | -6.9 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#215) | -1.02 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#230) | -1.44 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#171) | 0.453 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 12.7% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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