Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +43 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -23.0 (+20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -19.6 (+23.4) | 144.2 (-29.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -20.1 (+22.9) | 140.8 (-25.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -17.2 (+25.8) | 145.7 (-30.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -18.9 (+24.1) | 145.8 (-30.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | HOU 60 – 46 ECU |
| Feb 26, 2023 | HOU 76 – 57 ECU |
| Feb 3, 2021 | ECU 82 – 73 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 9-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 19.8 (#5) | 0.4 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#10) | 0.57 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.43 (#7) | 0.41 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#11) | 0.511 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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