Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | ECU +1600 HOU -10000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +19 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -20.4 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -18.3 (-0.7) | 132.6 (+0.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -14.8 (-4.2) | 133.8 (-0.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -15.4 (-3.6) | 133.6 (-0.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -17.7 (-1.3) | 135.0 (-2.0) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | HOU 60 – 46 ECU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | HOU 79 – 36 ECU |
| Feb 3, 2021 | ECU 82 – 73 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 17-1 |
| Home | 10-6 | 16-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 57.5 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#216) | 21.6 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#197) | 3.52 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#182) | 4.65 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#244) | 0.643 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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