Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -10000 ECU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +14 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -22.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -19.6 (-5.6) | 131.5 (-25.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -17.6 (-3.6) | 129.1 (-23.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -18.2 (-4.2) | 132.4 (-26.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -19.5 (-5.5) | 134.4 (-28.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | HOU 76 – 57 ECU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | HOU 79 – 36 ECU |
| Feb 3, 2021 | ECU 82 – 73 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 11-0 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.5 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 21.3 (#1) | -1.3 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#1) | -0.08 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.77 (#1) | 0.05 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#3) | 0.479 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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