Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | ECU +1400 HOU -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -16.7 (+25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -12.8 (+21.8) | 132.1 (+22.9) | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -13.1 (+22.1) | 132.0 (+23.0) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -12.0 (+21.0) | 130.5 (+24.5) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -13.3 (+22.3) | 132.6 (+22.4) | 16% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | HOU 60 – 46 ECU |
| Feb 26, 2023 | HOU 76 – 57 ECU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | HOU 79 – 36 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-11 | 28-4 |
| Conference | 2-10 | 14-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-4 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 58.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#167) | 19.0 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#139) | 4.02 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#136) | 5.82 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#168) | 0.672 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 40.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 40.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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