Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +8 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -18.8 (-26.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -13.7 (-21.7) | 143.2 (+14.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -14.5 (-22.5) | 144.8 (+13.2) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -15.6 (-23.6) | 144.5 (+13.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -16.0 (-24.0) | 144.4 (+13.6) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | DREX 64 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 15, 2025 | W&M 72 – 59 DREX |
| Feb 7, 2025 | DREX 86 – 66 W&M |
| Jan 6, 2024 | DREX 77 – 55 W&M |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DREX 66 – 56 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#134) | -13.3 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#156) | -2.75 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#154) | -4.24 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#179) | 0.371 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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