Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +19 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -9.6 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -8.5 (-10.5) | 140.5 (+26.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -8.2 (-10.8) | 142.1 (+24.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -8.3 (-10.7) | 142.3 (+24.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -8.0 (-11.0) | 142.5 (+24.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COLU 80 – 62 BRWN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BRWN 86 – 80 COLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BRWN 86 – 61 COLU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLU 74 – 72 BRWN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 66 – 64 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 5-9 |
| Home | 3-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#339) | 0.0 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#340) | -0.51 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.38 (#342) | -0.45 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.351 (#351) | 0.485 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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