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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–23 on winners spread MAE 9.2 66 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Indiana -1.9 144.0 40% 65–68 ✗
Akron @ Bowling Green +1.2 150.3 58% 91–66 ✗
Saint Louis @ Massachusetts -5.6 150.3 27% 85–91 ✗
SMU @ Memphis +5.9 149.3 71% 70–62 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee Tech +1.8 142.1 64% 76–94 ✓
Belmont @ Morehead State -2.8 141.0 44% 74–83 ✗
Austin Peay @ UT Martin +1.8 139.3 50% 72–57 ✗
Marshall @ Florida International +0.2 148.4 59% 66–70 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Florida Atlantic +0.8 144.3 56% 69–78 ✓
Charlotte @ North Texas +14.1 125.6 87% 51–65 ✓
Wright State @ IU Indianapolis -15.2 129.6 13% 73–45 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern -1.2 134.9 46% 76–72 ✓
App State @ Georgia State -0.1 134.3 46% 61–60 ✓
Samford @ VMI +4.3 155.7 70% 80–99 ✓
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro -5.3 126.5 25% 72–64 ✓
Elon @ Drexel +7.8 139.4 82% 49–77 ✓
William & Mary @ Delaware +12.8 147.6 88% 74–84 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ James Madison +5.5 142.5 64% 71–70 ✗
Charleston @ Towson +7.5 146.9 79% 67–74 ✓
USC @ Colorado -1.4 137.9 47% 61–58 ✓
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston -2.5 132.6 45% 46–71 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Stephen F. Austin -2.2 135.2 41% 46–71 ✗
Texas State @ Little Rock -7.2 136.3 22% 69–59 ✓
Troy @ UL Monroe -2.7 143.1 33% 73–65 ✓
Monmouth @ Fairfield -2.5 135.1 39% 61–58 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State +1.7 152.3 59% 63–85 ✓
Old Dominion @ Rice +4.4 144.1 67% 69–77 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Arizona -7.9 140.8 22% 89–84 ✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +14.0 158.9 88% 58–69 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Valley +11.3 151.4 87% 56–66 ✓
California Baptist @ Tarleton State +3.6 132.2 64% 88–84 ✗
Seattle U @ Abilene Christian +5.3 142.9 75% 72–62 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ UIC +3.3 137.6 55% 74–70 ✗
Oakland @ Milwaukee -9.8 144.3 19% 78–88 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Green Bay -6.5 134.3 25% 63–70 ✗
UT Arlington @ Arkansas State +4.4 138.1 69% 70–75 ✓
South Alabama @ Louisiana +1.0 144.0 55% 77–70 ✗
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +17.8 156.5 90% 76–80 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas -2.9 159.4 27% 92–77 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas City -1.0 133.0 43% 77–80 ✗
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word +4.5 136.2 58% 68–65 ✗
McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +8.1 147.3 82% 56–60 ✓
SE Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans +3.0 152.1 65% 72–78 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Murray State +22.8 133.2 90% 51–91 ✓
UConn @ Butler -11.7 133.8 18% 75–56 ✓
Boise State @ Utah State +1.9 130.1 52% 62–59 ✗
UNLV @ Air Force -5.4 128.7 28% 62–69 ✗
Tulsa @ Cincinnati +9.0 138.0 80% 69–90 ✓
UTSA @ UTEP +12.1 137.3 86% 64–69 ✓
Idaho State @ Weber State +15.8 137.6 89% 63–95 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho -4.3 160.4 41% 87–70 ✓
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +9.3 144.7 81% 62–75 ✓
Lamar @ Utah Tech +6.2 141.6 73% 55–71 ✓
San Diego @ BYU +16.2 138.9 89% 71–79 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +6.9 138.8 79% 65–73 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +6.1 129.0 72% 65–63 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC San Diego +2.1 142.2 60% 87–69 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge -3.4 134.2 33% 64–47 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Bakersfield -1.2 128.9 39% 63–59 ✓
Montana @ Portland State -1.8 133.7 36% 66–64 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +14.2 158.2 86% 62–78 ✓
Arizona @ Stanford -10.5 149.1 20% 85–57 ✓
UCLA @ Utah -5.5 142.8 25% 63–58 ✓
Pepperdine @ Loyola Marymount +9.0 140.5 81% 80–85 ✓
Washington @ Oregon State +2.1 147.8 49% 82–72 ✗
Toledo @ Ohio +3.1 142.1 66% 87–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.