Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -1.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -1.2 (-2.8) | 128.9 (-6.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -1.3 (-2.7) | 130.0 (-8.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -1.6 (-2.4) | 131.1 (-9.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -1.9 (-2.1) | 130.3 (-8.3) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HAW 89 – 74 CSUB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAW 98 – 71 CSUB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CSUB 76 – 64 HAW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HAW 81 – 70 CSUB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | HAW 74 – 57 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 10-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#252) | 0.8 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#238) | -0.33 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#227) | -0.15 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#247) | 0.463 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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