Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -250 CSUB +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -6.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -4.7 (+12.3) | 134.8 (-3.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -6.3 (+10.7) | 135.5 (-4.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -4.8 (+12.2) | 134.1 (-3.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -4.6 (+12.4) | 134.7 (-3.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HAW 89 – 74 CSUB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAW 98 – 71 CSUB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CSUB 76 – 64 HAW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HAW 81 – 70 CSUB |
| Jan 5, 2024 | HAW 78 – 67 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#164) | -3.6 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#167) | -0.72 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#171) | -0.80 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#202) | 0.450 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 33.4% |
Game Analysis
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