Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB -135 HAW +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -1.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -0.3 (+11.7) | 135.2 (+4.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -1.5 (+10.5) | 139.3 (+0.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -1.2 (+10.8) | 141.5 (-1.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -1.2 (+10.8) | 138.2 (+1.8) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HAW 89 – 74 CSUB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAW 98 – 71 CSUB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HAW 81 – 70 CSUB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | HAW 74 – 57 CSUB |
| Jan 5, 2024 | HAW 78 – 67 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#240) | -3.1 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#223) | -0.20 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#227) | -0.30 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#272) | 0.470 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.6% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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