Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB +220 HAW -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -2.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -3.6 (-7.4) | 133.9 (+11.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -2.1 (-8.9) | 133.0 (+12.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -2.3 (-8.7) | 134.9 (+10.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -2.6 (-8.4) | 134.8 (+10.2) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HAW 89 – 74 CSUB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAW 98 – 71 CSUB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CSUB 76 – 64 HAW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HAW 81 – 70 CSUB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | HAW 74 – 57 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#287) | 0.2 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#288) | -0.09 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#287) | 0.04 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#334) | 0.487 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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