Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | HAW -300 CSUB +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -4.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -3.4 (+7.6) | 140.9 (+10.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -2.5 (+8.5) | 138.5 (+12.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -3.6 (+7.4) | 142.6 (+8.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -3.7 (+7.3) | 144.0 (+7.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HAW 89 – 74 CSUB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAW 98 – 71 CSUB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CSUB 76 – 64 HAW |
| Mar 10, 2024 | HAW 74 – 57 CSUB |
| Jan 5, 2024 | HAW 78 – 67 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#182) | -2.6 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#172) | -0.29 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#175) | -0.29 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#210) | 0.485 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 37.7% |
Game Analysis
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