Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -2.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -1.8 (-0.2) | 133.7 (-3.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -2.9 (+0.9) | 136.0 (-6.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -2.5 (+0.5) | 138.2 (-8.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -3.3 (+1.3) | 137.1 (-7.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#313) | -2.9 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#330) | 0.19 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#316) | 0.36 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#338) | 0.502 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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