Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -140 SIUE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +18 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -2.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -1.8 (+16.2) | 142.1 (+27.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -0.9 (+17.1) | 141.0 (+29.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -1.1 (+16.9) | 141.5 (+28.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -1.1 (+16.9) | 142.2 (+27.8) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#255) | -3.8 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#319) | -1.01 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#309) | -1.43 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#315) | 0.461 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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