Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -4.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -3.0 (+3.0) | 152.1 (-2.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -2.2 (+3.8) | 150.5 (-0.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -2.4 (+3.6) | 152.6 (-2.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -2.0 (+4.0) | 151.8 (-1.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Jan 13, 2026 | NOLA 79 – 76 SELA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SELA 91 – 71 NOLA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NOLA 78 – 66 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#273) | -6.9 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#271) | -0.87 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#260) | -1.31 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#308) | 0.457 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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