Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -1600 NOLA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -14.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -11.3 (-3.3) | 141.8 (+2.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -11.6 (-3.6) | 142.7 (+1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -11.4 (-3.4) | 140.3 (+3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -11.4 (-3.4) | 140.9 (+3.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Jan 13, 2026 | NOLA 79 – 76 SELA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SELA 91 – 71 NOLA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NOLA 78 – 66 SELA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SELA 77 – 67 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-18 |
| Home | 8-4 | 0-11 |
| Away | 9-8 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 82.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#189) | -12.7 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#215) | -1.81 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#225) | -2.40 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#210) | 0.437 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.