Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -450 NOLA +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -10.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -8.9 (+1.1) | 148.3 (-4.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -9.1 (+0.9) | 148.0 (-4.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -9.7 (+0.3) | 146.9 (-2.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -9.2 (+0.8) | 148.4 (-4.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Jan 13, 2026 | NOLA 79 – 76 SELA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SELA 91 – 71 NOLA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NOLA 78 – 66 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#286) | -14.3 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#270) | -2.68 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#289) | -3.38 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#238) | 0.387 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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