Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -225 NOLA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +12 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -6.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -5.4 (-17.4) | 142.3 (+1.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -5.3 (-17.3) | 141.9 (+2.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -5.5 (-17.5) | 142.1 (+1.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -6.0 (-18.0) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Jan 13, 2026 | NOLA 79 – 76 SELA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SELA 91 – 71 NOLA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SELA 77 – 67 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#297) | -14.0 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#283) | -2.60 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#301) | -3.36 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#230) | 0.396 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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