Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +210 SELA -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +20 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -6.2 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -5.4 (-14.6) | 141.6 (+20.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -5.8 (-14.2) | 141.7 (+20.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -5.4 (-14.6) | 141.0 (+21.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -6.2 (-13.8) | 142.5 (+19.5) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Jan 13, 2026 | NOLA 79 – 76 SELA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 NOLA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NOLA 78 – 66 SELA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SELA 77 – 67 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 12-8 |
| Home | 0-11 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-15 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L13 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.5 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#346) | -2.5 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#311) | -1.12 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#309) | -1.45 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#270) | 0.448 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 62.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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