Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -148 NOLA +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -2.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.3 (-3.3) | 137.9 (+17.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -1.5 (-4.5) | 138.9 (+16.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.3 (-3.3) | 138.1 (+16.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.1 (-3.1) | 139.4 (+15.6) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SELA 91 – 71 NOLA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NOLA 78 – 66 SELA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SELA 77 – 67 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 12-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#252) | -4.2 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#314) | -0.85 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#299) | -1.05 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#282) | 0.464 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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