Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -3.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -0.2 (+3.8) | 148.4 (-12.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -3.0 (+1.0) | 146.5 (-10.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -3.4 (+0.6) | 148.4 (-12.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -3.7 (+0.3) | 149.8 (-13.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2023 | MRSH 80 – 69 FIU |
| Mar 9, 2022 | MRSH 74 – 62 FIU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | FIU 72 – 71 MRSH |
| Jan 23, 2021 | MRSH 89 – 72 FIU |
| Jan 23, 2021 | MRSH 79 – 66 FIU |
Game Analysis
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